a. Using Hatfield’s data and its industry averages, how well run would you say Hatfield appears to be in comparison with other firms in its industry? What are its primary strengths and weaknesses? Be specific in your answer, and point to various ratios that support your position. Also, use the DuPont equation as one part of your analysis.
b. Use the AFN equation to estimate Hatfield’s required new external capital for 2016 if the sale growth rate is 10%. Assume that the firm’s 2015 ratios will remain the same in 2016.
c. Define the term self-supporting growth rate. What is Hatfield’s self-supporting growth rate? Would the self-supporting growth rate be affected by a change in the capital intensity ratio or the other factors mentioned in the previous question?
d. Use the following assumptions to answer the questions below: (1) Operating ratios remain unchanged. (2) Sales will grow by 10%, 8%, 5%, and 5% for the next four years. (3) The target weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is 9%. This is the No Change scenario because operations remain unchanged.
(1) For each of the next four years, forecast the following items: sales, cash, accounts receivable, inventories, net fixed assets, accounts payable & accruals, operating costs (excluding depreciation), depreciation, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT).
(2) Using the previously forecasted items, calculate for each of the next four years the net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT), net operating working capital, total operating capital, free cash flow, (FCF), annual growth rate in FCF, and return on invested capital. What does the forecasted free cash flow in the first year imply about the need for external financing? Compare the forecasted ROIC compare with the WACC. What does this imply about how well the company is performing?
(3) Assume that FCF will continue to grow at the growth rate for the last year in the forecast horizon. What is the horizon value at 2019? What is the present value of the horizon value? What is the present value of the forecasted FCF? What is the current value of operations? Using information from the 2015 financial statements, what is the current estimated intrinsic stock price?
e. Continue with the same assumptions for the No Change scenario from the previous question, but now forecast the balance sheet and income statements for 2016 (but not for the following three years) using the following preliminary financial policy. (1) Regular dividends will grow by 10%. (2) No additional long-term debt or common stock will be issued. (3) The interest rate on all debt is 8%. (4) Interest expense for long-term debt is based on the average balance during the year. (5) If the operating results and the preliminary financing plan cause a financing deficit, eliminate the deficit by drawing on a line of credit. The line of credit would be tapped on the last day of the year, so it would create no additional interest expenses for that year. (6) If there is a financing surplus, eliminate it by paying a special dividend.
Hatfield Medical Supplies’ stock price had been lagging its industry averages, so its board of directors brought in a new CEO, Jaiden Lee. Lee had brought in Ashley Novak, a finance MBA who had been working for a consulting company, to replace the old CFO, and Lee asked Ashley to develop the financial planning section of the strategic plan. In her previous job, Novak’s primary task had been to help clients develop financial forecasts, and that was one reason Lee hired her.
Novak began by comparing Hatfield’s financial ratios to the industry averages. If any ratio was substandard, she discussed it with the responsible manager to see what could be done to improve the situation. The following data show Hatfield’s latest financial statements plus some ratios and other data that Novak plans to use in her analysis.
A Using Hatfield s data and its industry averages how well